Tuesday MACtion

DISCLAIMER - I am nowhere near as confident in these picks as what you will find in the FINNsider picks. Just looking to show what Finnelytics has to say about the games.

The middle of the MAC includes a plethora of evenly matched teams. The matchups offensively for both teams are very similar, both should have above average passing matchups and below-average matchups on the ground. Both teams are healthy, and come in performing equally against common opponents. All signs point towards a close game in which it could benefit to be the home team especially with this game being on a Tuesday.

Picking Bowling Green is a rather bold pick just about every week of the year. However, every time they've covered this year (only 3 times) it has happened at home. They've also won all of those games straight up including the upset win over Toledo where they were 25 point underdogs. Four of their five home games thus far they also achieved a defensive rating of at least 65 which is phenomenal compared to an average defensive rating of 38 when on the road. Matchup wise offensively it appears they could have success on the ground, which could help extend possessions and control some of the game keeping the 3 touchdown line in reach. The issue will come if they fall behind early and are forced to throw the ball. They've had very limited success through the air this year even while being behind in just about every game. On the other side of the ball, Ohio should look to attack on the ground as well which could help move the game along. They run at 60% clip coming in, and the matchup tonight is extremely in their favor.