BEST BETS: WEEK 9

Finnelytics
Oct 23, 2020
2 min read

YTD: 8-10 (44%) All-Time 30-18 (63%)

OVER (61.5) | BAYLOR vs TEXAS

This line of just 61.5 points seems surprisingly low. The Longhorns offense has just been rolling along this year, averaging just shy of 50 points per game. To go along with that offense, their defense continues to really struggle. If you take out the UTEP game where they gave up just 3 points, the Longhorns are giving up 47 points per game on average. Their average score in BIG12 play this year is 47-46 for a total of 93 points a game. Not saying the crazy amount will continue but that is over 30 more points than this week's point total.

Baylor has just played 2 games this year because of a couple of cancellations. They lost a ton on defense this past offseason, and their defensive performance so far this year is tough to judge because of who they've played (Kansas and West Virginia). Offensively, they return a veteran QB in Charlie Brewer along with a couple of solid weapons.

OVER (54.5) | GEORGIA TECH vs BOSTON COLLEGE

Two programs that are going through some pretty drastic changes schematically have both seen some highlights and some low times this year. Georgia Tech is coming off an absolute drubbing from Clemson and there really wasn't much to take away from that game. The intriguing part of this game is what Hendon Hooker and VTech did to the Boston College defense a week ago. Hooker ran for 164 yards himself en route to a team total of 350 yards on the ground. Jeff Sims and Georgia Tech run a pretty similar type of attack and you've got to think Geoff Collins likes the matchup.

The concerning part of this over play may be the Boston College offense. Schematically their style of play doesn't suggest that as Phil Jurkovec chucked it all over the field again last week over 50 times. Unfortunately, once again all those passes only resulted in 14 points. Hopefully, a poorer defense and the friendly confines of being home will help out the offense find the endzone a couple more times.

OKLAHOMA (-6.5) vs TCU

There is no denying Oklahoma has been a disappointment so far this year, however, the big win over the Longhorns coupled with a bye week may have the Sooners back on the right track. Spencer Rattler was benched for a few series in the Texas game after a shaky start, but then came back firing in the second half. Austin Stogner has really started to emerge as a lead target for the Sooners and that was a pretty big issue the first few weeks with no real weapons standing out as go-to guys.

In the meantime, TCU is fresh off a loss to a Kansas State team lead by their backup QB. TCU only managed to score 14 points, their worst offensive performance of the year.